TIBO·RESET 实时扫描LIVE SCAN 模型 jev-1.13-20260917 · 数据源 @thsottiaux · 最近扫描 2026-09-20 · 判定 3,000 次 / 375 条 model jev-1.13-20260917 · source @thsottiaux · last scan 2026-09-20 · 3,000 judgments / 375 posts
0%
3 天内重置概率P(RESET WITHIN 3 DAYS)基率 41% · 间隔修正 71%base rate 41% · gap-adjusted 71%
周二TUE 9/22
最可能窗口MOST LIKELY WINDOW48 小时内概率 71%71% within 48 hours
≤7天d 75% ≤14天d 85% ≤48h 71% · 置信conf 0.61 距上次重置since last reset 8 天d 已录重置resets logged 18 ⏳
共识:重置大概率发生CONSENSUS: RESET LIKELY
Tibo @thsottiaux
“OK fine. But it’s also still coming in Tuesday”
09/19在 X 上查看 ↗View on X ↗
▸ 信号扫描signal scan · 124 天days · 近 7 日尖峰spikes, last 7d 0
▸ 证据采纳evidence · “OK fine. But it’s also still coming in Tuesday” · 09/19 ↑
▸ 间隔gap · 8 天未重置d since last reset(中位 5 · 极值 14)(median 5 · max 14)
▸ 基率base rate 41% → 间隔修正gap-adjusted 71%
▸ 输出output · P(≤3d) 0.70 · P(≤7d) 0.75 · P(≤14d) 0.85 · 窗口 周二 9/22window: TUE 9/22

暗示信号 · 84 天 · 阈值 0.40HINT SIGNAL · 84 DAYS · THRESHOLD 0.40 点击琥珀色尖峰查看判定详情click an amber spike to inspect the judgment

▮ 日内最高暗示分daily max hint score ▮ 尖峰 ≥ 0.40spike ≥ 0.40 ▲ 重置公告reset announced 9/9 尖峰在 0–4 天内兑现9/9 spikes followed by a reset in 0–4 days

JEV 判定流 · 真实输出回放JEV JUDGMENT STREAM · REAL OUTPUTS

问题(每条推文)QUESTION (per tweet)读数VALUE
公告检测is_reset_announcement0.03
暗示检测is_reset_hint0.06
提及限额mentions_usage_limits0.14
提及里程碑mentions_milestone0.04
提及事故mentions_incident0.24
提及效率mentions_efficiency0.08
提及发布mentions_launch0.72
挑逗强度 0–3teasing_tone0.63
近 7 日读数7-day window

校准记录 · 尖峰兑现CALIBRATION · SPIKE FOLLOW-THROUGH

日期DATESCORE推文TWEET重置在RESET IN
07-180.81“And transitively might also have reset other rate limits out there. Let's see. You're welcome if so.”1 天后兑现resolved in 1 days
07-310.48“The day we develop really good models. There will be signs. Reliability increasing despite load going up and up. Sudden efficiency gains. Things getti”2 天后兑现resolved in 2 days
08-010.40“And yet, I don't see a reset button there.”1 天后兑现resolved in 1 days
08-070.87“I feel Theo is in need of a reset 👀”5 天后兑现resolved in 5 days
08-190.64“You would break the reset button? You would do such a thing?”3 天后兑现resolved in 3 days
08-260.44“Reseted you mean?”4 天后兑现resolved in 4 days
08-290.49“Looking at the dashboard we might hit a new milestone to celebrate tomorrow. Hold on to your Codex”1 天后兑现resolved in 1 days
09-060.94“Who says it won't reset in a while 👀”3 天后兑现resolved in 3 days
* 上下文检出caught via context

重置事件日志 · 自 5 月 31 日共 17 次RESET EVENT LOG · 17 SINCE MAY 31

预测日志 · 不可变PREDICTION LOG · IMMUTABLE

2026-09-20 · 第 1 轮PASS 1P(≤7d) = 0.55“OK fine” 回复发布前before the “OK fine” reply待结算pending
2026-09-20 · 第 2 轮PASS 2P(≤7d) = 0.79“OK fine. …still coming in Tuesday” 之后after “OK fine. …still coming in Tuesday”待结算pending
2026-09-20 · 第 3 轮PASS 3P(≤7d) = 0.75证据:“OK fine. But it’s also still c…”evidence: "OK fine. But it’s also still c…"待结算pending
352 条tweets × 8 问judgments ≈ $0.03 单次判定 ~1 秒~1s per judgment 非官方 · 与 OpenAI 无关 · 仅供娱乐UNOFFICIAL · NOT AFFILIATED WITH OPENAI · FOR FUN